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Alternative Asset Managers See Increase In “Complexity” During The Quarter

Total new regulatory disclosures up; 2% of managers experience higher complexity in the period

SOUTH NORWALK, Conn. (April18, 2017) – Alternative asset managers saw an increase in “complexity” during the first quarter of 2017, with 152 Managers, or 2%, moving to a High Complexity Profile in their operational and business model, according to Convergence, a leading provider of data and insights to the alternative investment industry. The increase in complexity was led by hedge funds, with 78 funds moving to High Complexity, compared to 34 private equity funds, 10 real estate funds, and 28 “other category”.

Convergence assesses manager risk by tracking and monitoring 40 business and operational factors, including internal valuation, self-administration, and qualified audits. Convergence data has demonstrated a strong historical correlation between growth in fund complexity and levels of alternative manager risk.

“The quarter saw movements up and down the complexity curve across all Fund Types, and we expect to see continued changes as 225 new Managers were added, based on our most recent view of Q1 data,” said John Phinney, co-president at Convergence.

Other data from the quarter includes:

  • New regulatory actions disclosed by alternative Managers during Q1 increased by 135, comprised of 120 Regulatory Actions, 8 Civil Actions and 7 Criminal Actions.
  • 121 Managers experienced a decline in Complexity from High to Medium Complexity, led by 39 HF Managers, 44 PE Managers, 12 RE Managers and 57 Other Fund Managers.
  • 225 New Managers were added during the quarter, 9 receiving a High Complexity Rating, 110 Medium and 106 Low.

About Complexity

Convergence’s Advisor Complexity Profile (“Complexity”), launched earlier this year, is designed to address the challenge of operational and business model transparency in the alternative asset management industry. Complexity provides insight into all the major alternative asset classes, including hedge funds, private equity, real estate, venture capital, and structured asset funds, incorporating approximately 8,300 managers in more than 50 countries, and assigns each of them a high, medium or low complexity profile. It is designed to meet the needs for improved transparency and analysis for all the major industry participants: investors and asset allocators, assets managers, and service providers.

About Convergence, Inc.

Founded in 2013, Convergence is an independent growth company that has created an entirely new platform comprising (1) data, (2) research and analytical products, and, (3) surveillance / monitoring services, all providing transparency into the infrastructure of the alternative asset management industry. The firm’s leadership team has 120+ years of experience managing operating risk in many of the world’s leading asset management organizations. The depth and breadth of this industry expertise differentiates Convergence from any research players in the industry who provide data but fail to provide actionable context. Convergence does not render investment advice.

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Identifying and Mitigating Operational Risk through Data Analytics

This post, written by Convergence’s John Phinney and George Evans, was originally posted on GARP – Global Association of Risk Professionals on March 10, 2017.

Massive amounts of siloed and unstructured data complicate the huge challenge of managing operational risk in the rapidly growing alternative assets industry. However, advanced data analysis can temper this risk by uncovering the impact of operating model decisions and by detecting complex patterns that are not otherwise readily transparent.

Last year, in a feat that was thought to be impossible not too long ago, an artificial intelligence program created by Google beat an established master at the Chinese board game “Go” for the first time. The program, AlphaGo, did so in part by recognizing and taking advantage of complex patterns in the movement of the stones used by the game’s players — patterns that were invisible to its human competitor.

Something similar is happening with efforts to manage operational risk in the alternative asset management industry, which includes hedge funds, private equity, real estate and structured assets. With more than 17,000 registered investment advisors, 58,000 alternative funds and an expected $20 trillion in assets by year-end 2020, the industry is vastly complicated. Moreover, a massive and expanding publicly-accessible digital footprint comprised of ADV filings, vendor relationships and RFPs adds to its complexity.

Indeed, in 2016, alternative asset managers filed 40,000 ADVs — and, what’s more, 40% filed more than once (up 28% from 2015). Historically, this data has been mostly siloed and unstructured. Now, however, newer technologies are emerging that can capture this information in a normalized, structured database.

The Data Analysis Payoff

While the data flow can be massive (as much as a terabyte a day), the payoff from providing daily analysis can be significant. As with artificial intelligence and Go, patterns start to emerge that were previously undiscoverable. The data algorithms typically look for change at the margin among factors that include internal valuation, self-administration and qualified audits, for example.

The working thesis behind the expanding use of advanced data analysis is straightforward: complex systems can add risk, and unnecessarily complex systems can add unnecessary risk. A corollary would be that, as an investor or allocator, you want to know that a manager has systems in place that are commensurate with the level of operational risk inherent in the fund.

While many of the operational changes flagged by data analysis may not seem especially worrying in isolation, patterns that emerge through such analysis may suggest otherwise. Detection of complex patterns could have, for example, come in handy for the eight percent of alternative asset advisors that incurred a regulatory violation over a recent 36-month period (see Figure 1, below).

Figure 1: Managers Reporting Regulatory Actions by Primary Fund Type

Prior to their regulatory issues surfacing, 80 percent of the regulatory “violators” had a medium or high complexity profile. Of course, provided that systems are in place to manage it properly, a high level of complexity (see Figure 2, below) isn’t an issue in and of itself. Moreover, the patterns discerned by the algorithms are worth knowing, regardless of whether or not they portend a regulatory issue.

Figure 2: Complexity Profiles of Managers Reporting Regulatory Actions

In the case of the alternative asset managers that incurred a regulatory violation, identifying these patterns may or may not have saved the day — but it would have at least suggested that a closer look under the hood was in order. These kinds of operational metrics may have been largely invisible in the traditional due diligence process.

Human beings are geared to detect patterns, but can be quickly overwhelmed by the kinds of massive data now available in the alternative assets space. Fortunately, technology has reached the point where high volume and multiple sources are no longer insurmountable obstacles.

In fact, the measurement of operational risk can now provide significant insight across the entire industry, from allocators to the managers themselves. Like AlphaGo, it’s just a matter of seeing what’s in front of our eyes in new ways.

John Phinney and George Evans are co-founders of South Norwalk, CT-based Convergence Inc., which identifies, tracks and reports changes across the alternative asset management industry on a daily basis.

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Convergence Launches Advisor Complexity Profile, New Technology Designed To Deliver Complete Transparency Into The Alternative Asset Industry

First standardized reporting that measures and contextualizes changing levels of operating complexity of alternative asset managers

Convergence, a financial technology company founded by industry veterans, has launched Advisor Complexity Profile (“Complexity”), a new service designed to address the challenge of operational and business model transparency in the alternative asset management industry, it was announced today.

Complexity provides insight into all the major alternative asset classes, including hedge funds, private equity, real estate, venture capital, and structured asset funds, incorporating approximately 8,300 managers in more than 50 countries, and assigns each of them a high, medium or low complexity profile. It is designed to meet the needs for improved transparency and analysis for all the major industry participants: investors and asset allocators, assets managers, and service providers.

“The digital footprint being created by thousands of asset managers continues to expand making it harder to identify the critical data points that can provide insight into operational due diligence and risk management. Until now there has been no unifying product to capture, normalize and structure the kind of information that can give users an insightful and timely view into the complexity of an asset manager’s business model,” said John Phinney, Chairman & Co-President at Convergence. “Complexity Profiling does just that, allowing asset managers and asset owners to proactively protect against risks that may have previously gone undiscovered in a manager’s operating model.”

Complexity captures approximately 2,000 data points per manager, allowing Convergence and its clients to objectively compare manager complexity over time using a consistent set of metrics to track change and identify potential issues. Proprietary algorithms are used to create a “Complexity Profile” based on 40+ un-weighted factors identified in the manager’s business model. Profiles are updated daily.

A low/medium/high complexity profile is assigned to the asset manager based on the number of high complexity factors present in their business model. Among the factors captured and analyzed are internal valuation, self-administration, and qualified audits. Asset managers would be expected to have the infrastructure in place to manage the level of complexity inherent across their organization.

Complexity Profiles are designed to be used for a variety of purposes including fund raising, manager research and selection; ongoing surveillance and due diligence; pricing services and assessing risk, benchmarking versus peers and competitors, and in sales support. Complexity Profiles allow users to pinpoint specific complexity areas where risk exists and where risks have been created since the initial due diligence was conducted.

“Complex operating models do add risk, and unnecessarily complex models can add unnecessary risk,” said George Evans, Co-President at Convergence, noting that Convergence estimates that as many as seven percent of asset managers may be under major operating model stress at any given point.

“These potential issues have historically been invisible to investors and allocators. With Complexity, we are bringing unconstrained transparency to the operating risk in each manager’s structure and in the industry overall, while also allowing managers to gauge the complexity of their own businesses,” he added.

Convergence founders Phinney and Evans bring a long track record of financial industry success to the new company. Prior to starting Convergence, Mr. Phinney held a number of senior positions, including CFO/COO with Apollo Global Management, The Rohatyn Group and JPMorgan.

Mr. Evans was previously Managing Director with The Gladstone Group, and Global Head of Business Development with GlobeOp Financial, BISYS and JPMorgan Investor Services.

Convergence currently counts among its users many leading fund administrators and auditors, pensions, endowments and foundations, as well as large established and emerging asset managers. With Complexity, it is targeting a market comprised of more than 17,000 registered investment advisors, 58,000 alternative funds, and an expected $20 trillion in assets by year-end 2020.

“If you’re an asset manager, you want to know where you have issues compared to your peer groups that might be costing you business. If you’re an allocator, you want to identify the best managers, and flag any potential issues early in the process. For a service provider, there’s a need to identify where to market your products and price them accordingly. Our research and analytics are designed to provide insight for all these constituencies,” said Phinney.

About Convergence, Inc.

Founded in 2013, Convergence is an independent growth company that has created an entirely new platform comprising (1) data, (2) research and analytical products, and, (3) surveillance / monitoring services, all providing transparency into the infrastructure of the alternative asset management industry. The firm’s leadership team has 120+ years of experience managing operating risk in many of the world’s leading asset management organizations. The depth and breadth of this industry expertise differentiates Convergence from any research players in the industry who provide data but fail to provide actionable context. Convergence does not render investment advice.

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Talking Hedge April 5th – The Modernization of Due Diligence for Alternative Investments

Convergence’s John Phinney will be participating in Talking Hedge’s April 5, 2017 event in New York City. Event registration info is available here.

The Modernization of Due Diligence for Alternative Investments

April 5, 2017

Harvard Club of New York City

Register Today for Early Bird Rate of $695

Institutional Investors Complimentary

Look Who’s Raising the Bar on Due Diligence

  • John D’Agostino, Managing Director, DMS Governance
  • Benjamin Alimansky, Managing Director, Director of Manager Research, Glenmede
  • Ranjan Bhaduri, Chief Research Officer, Sigma Analysis & Management, Ltd.
  • Westley Chapman, CEO and Founder, AlphaPipe
  • Kevin Edwards, Senior Investment Director, Hartford HealthCare
  • Lionel Erdely, Head and CIO, Alternative Investment Solutions, Investcorp Investment Advisors
  • Steven Kahn, Head of Operations, Talpion Fund Management
  • Edward Lund, Senior Vice President, Institutional Sales, The Gemini Companies
  • Judith Posnikoff, Founding Partner, Pacific Alternative Asset Management Company
  • John Phinney, Co-President, Convergence Inc.
  • Shakil Riaz, Managing Director, Head of U.S. Alternative Portfolio Management and Global CIO, Rothschild Asset Management
  • Adrian Sales, Head of Operational Due Diligence, Albourne America LLC
  • Alessandra Tocco, Managing Director, Global Head of Capital Introduction, Consulting and Content, J. P. Morgan

Join them for straight talk between institutional investors, managers and solutions providers. We’ll discuss the modern tools available to improve due diligence efficiencies and the latest thinking on evaluating culture, talent, transparency, alignment of interests, operations and ongoing diligence.

This educational program will highlight investor expectations of alternative investment managers and how managers are raising the bar with improved technologies, high touch client service and tailored solutions.

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Convergence nominated for HFM Technology Award 2017

Convergence is proud to be on the shortlist of nominations for HFMTechnology’s US Awards 2017 for “Most innovative technology firm.” A list of nominees can be found here. The winners will be announced at an awards lunch which will take place on Monday, 13 February.

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Insight #12 – Hedge Fund and Private Equity Capital Flows Continue in 2016 Despite Challenges

Companies may use an exemption under Regulation D to offer and sell securities without having to register the offering with the SEC. When relying on such an exemption, companies must file what’s known as a “Form D” after they first sell their securities. Form D is a brief notice that includes basic information about the company and the offering, such as the names and addresses of the company’s executive officers, the size of the offering and the date of first sale.

Most alternative funds (companies) file a Form D exempting from SEC registration requirements the interest they offer in their funds. New fund offerings require the fund, and its Advisor, to file a Form D within 15 days of receiving its first investor commitment to invest in the fund.  Existing fund to their previous filing. Two of the many pieces of information in these filings that are worthy of inspection include: 1) the total number of investors in the fund and 2) the total amount of invested capital.

Convergence’s Form D database includes all Form D filings dating back to 2009 and contains almost 200,000 filings.  Convergence has created a rich historical time series linking these filings to the 17,700 + Advisors in our database, creating a new and unique set of observations at the market, fund type, advisor and strategy level.  More importantly, our clients eliminate the time and cost required to slice and dice big data to derive value.

HEDGE FUND VIEW

Illustration #1:   3-Year View-Hedge Fund Capital Flows

insight12-pic1

In 2016, $325bn flowed into Hedge Funds.  $65bn, or 20%, went into New Hedge Fund launches and $260bn, or 80%, flowed into existing Hedge Funds.  Capital raised in 2016 for new Hedge Funds declined 35%, down sharply from the $101bn raised in 2015 and capital flowing into existing Hedge Funds declined 20% from the $327bn raised in 2015.  Overall flows into hedge funds are down 24% over 2015, up from the 14% decline seen in the 2015-2014 period.

Illustration #2: 3-Year View-Hedge Fund Filings

insight12-pic2

Total Hedge Fund Filings grew at a 1% CAGR over the 3-year measurement period.  Total New and Existing Hedge Fund Filings rose 2% over 2015 and New Fund Filings declined 6%.  Filings by existing Hedge Funds rose 4% suggesting that investors are more willing to invest more capital with current managers than with new managers.  

PRIVATE EQUITY VIEW

Illustration #3:           3-Year Private Equity Fund Flows

insight12-pic3

In 2016, $283bn flowed into PE Funds.  $109bn, or 39%, went into New PE Fund launches and $173bn, or 61%, flowed into existing PE Funds.  Capital raised in 2016 for new PE Funds increased 4%, up slightly from the $105bn raised in 2015 and capital flowing into existing PE Funds declined 4% from the $181bn raised in 2015.  Overall flows into PE funds are down 1% over 2015, up from the 3.5% decline seen in the 2015-2014 period

Illustration #4:  3-Year Private Equity Fund Filings

insight12-pic4

PE Fund Filings grew at a 11% CAGR over the 3-year measurement period.  Total New PE Fund Filings rose 9% over 2015 and Existing PE Fund Filings increased 11%.  Filings by existing PE Funds rose 11% over 2015, suggesting additional capital was called to fund deals or additional capital flowed into existing PE funds still open.  We expect to see large increases in PE capital[i] flows in coming months as investors begin making commitments to new PE funds launched in 2016.

Summary

Despite performance woes, capital continues to flow into new and existing Hedge Funds!

Although overall period-period growth is down, Hedge Funds continue drawing investors. Despite media reports of a declining industry our data shows positive net capital flows. New Hedge Fund formation was brisk in 2016 with over 1,700 new hedge funds launched. While the average amount of capital raised by these new funds is lower than prior periods, investors appear committed to the asset class.

The number of New Private Equity Funds grew significantly in 2016!

New PE Funds are projected to grow 9% over 2015, better than the 8% growth experienced in 2014-2015 and we expect to report increases in the number of amended filings in the months ahead. Growth opportunities continue for service providers seeking to grow and expand in this market.

 

 

For more information on Convergence, this report and our analytical and research products please go to our website at www.convergenceinc.com or call John Phinney @ 203-956-4824 or George Evans @ 215-704-7100.

[i] 2016 numbers are projections based on historical growth rates

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Convergence Named ’20 Most Promising Data Integration Solution Providers’ 2016

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Article preview below. Original article seen here

Convergence – Transparency for Alternative Assets

The global economic challenges facing asset allocators, especially pension plan, has ensured that alternative asset classes (Hedge–PE–Real Estate–VC–Structured Assets) play a key role in diversification and return in the investment management industry. In fact, PwC predicts that between now and 2020, alternative assets are expected to grow from $7.9 trillion to $15.3 trillion. The ability to extract value from data has emerged as a powerful competitive differentiator for alternative asset managers and their service providers. To help them navigate the complexity of issue that each faces in the marketplace, Convergence—a fast growing financial technology company—offers unique insights and solutions to navigate the fact growing alternative asset management industry. “Armed with a fundamental drive to create transparency and provide information that helps people take better decisions, we created Convergence,” begins John Phinney, the company’s Chairman & Co-President.

Convergence provides analytical data, benchmarking, custom research, and advisory services to the alternative asset management industry. Convergence’s data is unique because it is enriched by subject matter experts and data analysts. The company focuses on the manager/ advisor infrastructure including investment operations, risk management, marketing, investor relations, tax, compliance, technology, and service provider infrastructure.

According to George Evans, Co-President of Convergence, the Advisors are creating a massive “digital footprint” about their businesses through regulatory filings, social media and other forms of communication, yet all the information is not easily obtainable, structured, and not comparative in nature. “Convergence has created an entirely new platform comprising data, research, and analytical products and services that focus on exposing, improving and enhancing the business model and infrastructure of alternative asset managers,” he adds.

… Continue reading here

 

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Insight #11 – The Changing Face of Private Equity Fund Administration

Historically, Advisors to Private Equity funds performed fund accounting and administration functions in-house at a much higher rate than Advisors to Hedge funds. The classic reasons for this have included the inherent complexity, cost and risk inherent in Private Equity fund accounting and administration. Meaning, the Managers believe that they can do this work better and at a lower cost than fund administrators.  In fact, this has been true.  Yet something is changing in this segment of the fund administration market worthy of your review.

Convergence’s database tracks the private fund Administrators for over 17,000 Advisors and their alternative asset funds. In a recent review we determined that currently 8% of hedge fund assets, in contrast to 62% of private equity fund assets, are self-administered, illuminating the stark disparity in back-office practices for these fund types.

The market for hedge fund administration is more established and crowded and, as we have seen is in the throes of consolidation as more firms of all sizes sell-out to larger competitors. Recent examples of this include SS&C’s buying the Citibank and Wells Fargo books and Mitsubishi’s acquisition of UBS’s book. However, we are starting to see the beginning of similar industry consolidation in the Private Equity fund administration market, where larger Administrators are starting to acquire smaller firms with private equity expertise to increase their presence in this massive and untapped market segment.  With $1.9 trillion in 9,849 private equity funds, the revenue potential is large.  Convergence estimates the revenue potential in the Private Equity market currently self-administered may be worth between $1.2bn and $2bn in annual fees.  In an industry as competitive as Fund Administration, who is going to step-up and commit themselves to the Private Equity play?

Sanne Trust Company is clearly one market player stepping in aggressively as evidenced by their recent purchase of private equity specialist FLSV Fund Administration for reportedly $65 million, a deal set to be completed at the end of November. Factoring in this acquisition and their growth since the beginning of the year, Sanne has increased its’ total administered private fund assets by 83%, reaching $63 billion[1]. This purchase makes them a top player among PE administrators, jumping from 53rd to 7th in Convergence’s Monthly AUM rankings.

Table 1 shows a 3-year view of the Top 10 Private Equity Administrators.  Sanne’s acquisition of FLSV moves them to # 7 in our 9/30/2016 Ranking and Sanne appears well positioned to compete with the PE industry leaders with the technology and expertise gained from FLSV. The Administrators highlighted in yellow have gained the greatest share of the Private Equity Market over the 3-year period.

Table 1

insight-11-table-1

Sanne’s acquisition is also well-timed.  Convergence found other evidence in its database supporting the view that Self-Administration in the PE market is beginning to move to independent Administrators.

                    Table 2 shows Private Equity funds and their choice of Administrator over a 3-year period.  While total PE funds grew at a 15% CAGR, the number of funds serviced by independent Administrators grew by a 22% CAGR and funds choosing self-administration grew by 11% CAGR.

Table 2

insight-11-table-2

                    Table 3 shows a similar view over 3 years but measured in private equity gross asset value.  The gross asset value held by self -administered funds declined by a -3% CAGR while assets administered by independent Administrators grew by a 6% CAGR.

Table 3

insight-11-table-3

                    Table 4 shows the number of private equity funds that “switched” from self-administration to independent Administrators over the 2015-2016 period.  These types of switches were up 33%, year-over-year.

Table 4

 insight-11-table-4

Conclusion

The long awaited movement of Private Equity Funds from Self-Administered to independent Administrators has officially begun!

The Sanne Trust Company purchase of FLSV and the emergence of traditional hedge fund Administrators like Citco into the market for private equity fund accounting and administration is further evidence of the trend that Convergence has observed in its database.  Private Equity funds are moving their fund accounting and administration work to independent Administrators in increasingly larger numbers.  This bodes well for this highly competitive industry. Pay close attention to Convergence’s Monthly Administrator League tables Convergence’s Monthly AUM rankings (click here) to see who is winning and losing in this fast growing segment of the market.

The question that remains is when will Venture Capital funds begin a similar move?

 

For more information on Convergence, this report and our analytical and research products please go to our website at www.convergenceinc.com or call John Phinney @ 203-956-4824 or George Evans @ 215-704-7100.

 

[1] This figure represents SEC Registered Funds